Method Profile

KDBNet Structure-Based Kinase Affinity with Uncertainty-Guided Selection

Combine separate three-dimensional kinase-pocket and molecule graphs, predict affinity with an eight-model ensemble, and calibrate uncertainty before retrospective selection experiments.

Tumor ModelsComputational Models
Georgia Tech’s red-brick Tech Tower behind trees, lawn and orange flowers.
Georgia Tech’s Tech Tower, photographed on June 8, 2024. (Mistercontributer, CC0 1.0)

Research Applications

Prioritize kinase–compound binding experiments and compare exploration with conservative short-list selection.

Model & Design

Davis and KIBA experimental-affinity resources filtered for available structures; kinase-pocket and compound graphs; separate PDBbind complex-input comparison.

Experimental Format

New-drug, new-protein, both-new and low-sequence-identity splits; five random split repetitions; eight independent network initializations; post-hoc uncertainty scaling on held-out validation data.

Model Components

  • Component

    Inputs

    Description

    Protein Data Bank kinase structures with KLIFS-defined 85-residue pockets, UniProt reference sequences and PubChem compound structures; published Davis dissociation constants or KIBA combined bioactivity scores.

  • Component

    Selection settings

    Description

    Simulated KIBA active learning from 1% of training data; Davis 10,000-pair exploration pool; uncertainty-aware Bayesian acquisition functions for broad exploration or top-ten selection.

Measurements & Endpoints

  • Affinity correlation and mean squared error
  • Error versus uncertainty ranking
  • Prediction-interval calibration
  • Training-data acquisition efficiency
  • Recovery of strong-binding pairs

Analysis

Calibrated uncertainty rescaling leaves the predicted mean unchanged. Distinguish retrospective revelation of known labels from prospective new binding experiments and keep Davis/KIBA assay metrics separate.

Published Evidence

  • Study Design

    Compare structural-input ablations, baseline models, unfamiliar drug/protein splits and uncertainty-based selection policies.

    Study Sample

    Five random split repetitions; eight-model ensembles. KIBA acquisition starts at 1% of training data; Davis exploration evaluates 1,000 of 10,000 pairs against the top 500 known binders.

    Comparison

    Sequence/molecule models without three-dimensional inputs, complex-input models, uncalibrated uncertainty and random/greedy acquisition.

    Finding

    KDBNet outperformed tested non-three-dimensional comparators and was comparable to slightly better complex-input models. KIBA active learning matched full-data performance at about 50% of training data; Davis exploration recovered 50% of the top 500 pairs after 1,000 selections.

    Interpretation & Limits
    • Structure availability limits the evaluated kinase set.
    • Model uncertainty is estimated separately from inherent assay noise.
    • Davis dissociation constants and KIBA integrated scores are different experimental targets.
    • Candidate-acquisition demonstrations are retrospective; cellular pharmacology and prospective assay performance were not established.

Sources

  1. Calibrated geometric deep learning improves kinase–drug binding predictions. Nature machine intelligence. 2023-11-06. DOI: 10.1038/s42256-023-00751-0. ↗